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Archive for December, 2008

Dec 31 2008

Say Goodbye to Low Gas Prices in 2009

Our wallets had it good for awhile, but gas prices are going to rise fast in 2009. Happy New Year!

In December, Civilianism’s podcast reported on the UAE–CNN “Goldilocks Oil” story that said OPEC is prepared to raise oil prices in order to maximize their profits, in response to lowering world oil prices. This is to make up for the fact that people are using less oil and gas. OPEC oil prices will again be manipulated to go up enough to keep their profits stable, so our oil and gas prices are once again going to rise.

Iranian Press reported “Iran says it will cut oil output by 545,000 barrels per day (bpd) from Jan.1 in line with OPEC’s December decision to reduce supplies…. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), which produces about 40 percent of the world’s crude, agreed in a December summit to cut output by a record 2.2 million bpd to prevent the downward spiral of oil prices.”

“Oil markets are expecting a tough year in 2009 as the global financial crisis is expected to sharply slash demand for oil. According to a Reuters poll, US crude will be traded with an average price of $49 a barrel in the first quarter of 2009 and $58.48 a barrel for the whole year, $14 less than earlier forecasts.”

I don’t believe the prices will stabilize anywhere near $60 a barrel. The CNN story (excerpt below) clearly states that OPEC is planning for around $75 per barrel, and that’s before the probable world response of diminishing need and use for oil in the future. When that happens, the price will go up even more. And because of climate change, we can’t use more fossil fuels, especially with a new Obama administration, because he has said he will fight climate change. Climate change is not fought by burning fossil fuels, it’s fought by replacing fossil fuel use with other types of energy. That will further lower the demand for what OPEC is selling.

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Dec 30 2008

We Need a Ceasefire and Some Empathy

Published by shellinaya under Politics, World News Edit This

“The war against Gaza is ongoing, more hospitals, houses, mosques, government and military facilities are under fire, and the number of casualties, especially among the civilians is gradually increasing. Death toll exceeded 385 residents, including children, women and elderly while at least 1750 residents were injured. “– IMEMC

At least 40 more people in Gaza lost their lives today. Were they Hamas or civilians, and why does that question even matter? Hamas is no al Qaeda, but Israel has vowed to kill even Hamas “sympathizers”. It would be very interesting to find out how Israel determines who is a “sympathizer” and whether kids under 16 or in refugee camps can be considered Hamas sympathizers. If not, Israel is making a lot of mistakes with its targeting.

Former Congresswoman Cynthia McKinney and the Dignity made CNN news today several times. McKinney was interviewed by several reporters but CNN cut her off when she started talking about Gaza, as though defending the people there and pointing out their side of the story is just too controversial. On the other hand, various media pundits are castigating Hamas for hiding behind “women and children”. So we are getting mixed signals as to whether “women and children’s” lives matter or not.

Petitions to sign and websites promoting a ceasefire are coming into email accounts all over the country today and I’ve gotten a rush of them over the last 3 days. Here are two of the easiest “action items” from today and maybe they will even have some effect. The first is from CREDO — sign their petition here:

We need a ceasefire now in Gaza.

During a time of year filled with prayers for peace, the volatile Gaza Strip is plagued, once again, by violence and death.

Air strikes in Gaza have killed 300 so far - at least 50 of them civilians - and injured over 600 more. Rockets are striking deep inside of Israel. As the crisis is spirals out of control, it is certain to lead to more civilian suffering and an escalation of the conflict.

To make a profound understatement, the political and historical conflict causing this violence is centuries old and far too complicated to address in an e-mail petition. The purpose of this petition is not to assert who’s right and who’s wrong. Rather, we join our allies at Avaaz.org and ask for real action to stop the violence through an immediate ceasefire.

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Dec 29 2008

“Eliminating” Whistleblowers

Published by shellinaya under Politics, U.S. News Edit This

Michael Connell

It’s true that this sounds like a crazy conspiracy theory. After all, it’s too obvious! Remember the plane crash in 2002 that killed Senator Paul Wellstone? Every conspiracy theorist on the planet thinks Dick Cheney and Karl Rove conspired to cause that plane crash. How do they think it was done? By using an EM (eletro-magnetic) experimental device, to cause the plane’s electrical systems to fail. It sure sounds like a crazy story. Except when you consider that Paul Wellstone, the senator from my state of Minnesota, was hated by the Bush administration for being a tenacious anti-war speaker in the Senate. He was also very vocally against other Neocon policies and argued strongly against the war in Iraq. In fact, he voted against the Iraq war Resolution shortly before his plane crashed. (See more of a sensational nature here and of a less sensational nature here).

I was driving in my car in central Minnesota the day Wellstone’s plane crashed, and I heard about it on the radio. When they initially blamed it on icing, I thought that was a ridiculous claim. It wasn’t that cold out and it was only October.   That claim was later ruled out. Then they blamed it on pilot error, which is meaningless. It means someone made a mistake, but with two experienced pilots flying that day? It didn’t make sense. It didn’t make sense when I heard that another pilot, who was recently going to testify against the Bush administration, also inexplicably fell out of the sky. In fact, the plane crash of Mike Connell was even more suspicious because he was really the “Man Who Knew Too Much”. He had worked for the Bush administration on IT involved with the election of 2004, and he knew everything about how votes could and probably were stolen in that election. It has been demonstrated without a doubt that votes in certain electronic voting machines could be and most likely were “flipped” from Kerry to Bush in 2004, (documented in movies like “Hacking Democracy” and others.) Connell is the man who knew how it was done, since he set up websites for GOP candidates, and was their tech guru. He probably observed voting machines “malfunctioning” and doing whatever the Bush administration wanted, so they could steal another election. Whatever he knew, he knew it was important, because he expressed to some people that he was afraid he’d be “thrown under the bus” and he was also warned of his plane being possibly sabotaged. He had even asked for protective custody because of threats he had received.

Then suddenly, his plane crashes. He was an experienced pilot. You could say that was rather “convenient” for a lot of people in the Bush administration.
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Dec 28 2008

Media and Attacks on Gaza

Published by shellinaya under Politics, World News Edit This

Will the Middle East devolve into more and expanded wars now that Israel is relentlessly bombing Gaza? At this point, over a thousand are dead or wounded, and Gaza hospitals can’t keep up with the injured. Watching CNN International most of the day has been very frustrating because CNN has a definite pro-Israel bias, but its international news team is a little more fair. They even interviewed Diana Buttu tonight. She is the speaker in the video above, on her speaking tour, Separate Is Never Equal: Stories of Apartheid from South Africa to Palestine. This is a national speaking tour featuring a South African reverend and Palestinian lawyer.   The tour, sponsored by the US Campaign to End the Israeli Occupation (www.endtheoccupation.org), draws on the parallels between the South African and Israeli systems of apartheid.

Ms. Buttu is a political analyst and the former legal advisor to the PLO, and she was very harsh in her words for Israel when interviewed on CNN. She blamed the attacks on their politics and upcoming election, and she also said that the line from Israel, that this is in “self-defense, ” was “precisely a lie” and cover for their political goals. She also described the seige and that Gaza has been treated badly by Israel for a long time. Buttu didn’t have a chance to describe more or give out statistics, but she was given at least a few minutes to talk. (You can also see Butto on Democracy Now talking about Israel’s long blockade of Gaza here.)

The U.S. media has never been fair to Palestinians, and has always been pro-Israel. We were actually told over the last few days that Gaza broke the ceasefire with no supporting evidence of that, and that Gaza refused to extend it, also with no evidence or supporting testimony. This bias will probably not change any time soon, but everyone who has a website can help by publishing things on their sites the defend Palestinians when possible, when fair and when accurate. The inaccuracy about this in American news media is really criminal. CNN devoted most of its coverage to giving various Israel-friendly sources most of their speaking time.

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Dec 27 2008

Why There are Rockets

Published by shellinaya under Politics, World News Edit This


Dead Child in Gaza killed by Israeli air strikes
Photo: Palestinians carry the body of Salsabeel Abu Jalhoumm,
a 21-month-old girl who was killed in March 2008 in an Israeli air attack.

Just in time for the Christmas Season, new air strikes on Gaza that have killed over 250 people. What’s new about these most recent ones are the number and ferocity of them. Israeli air strikes themselves happen with some randomness in Palestinian life inside Gaza, as do tank attacks, crippling sanctions, and shootings of civilians by the IDF. This has all been documented, despite political claims.

Want to un-spin the puke that is on the MSM? Here’s a quick way to do it. Stop thinking the U.S. economy is the most important issue in the world for a little while . . . . men created the financial system and the financial mess, and men can fix it. If they can’t, then we don’t deserve capitalism. The rest of us have other concerns, like peace and climate change. For today, our lesson is Palestine-Israel relations. Why there were rockets, or . . . .

How to explain things to ignorant Americans

Israel is a country that builds racial colonies into Palestine, just like the White South Africa did in South Africa. They have racially segregated cites and towns in Palestine which are for Jews only and were built by force and are protected by a standing army. The entire world is against this other than America. And America’s Military Industrial Complex makes far too much money off of the conflicts to ever change its mind.

Furthermore even though “some Arabs” live in Israel, they can’t even go to High school with Jews. They are separated at the age of 14 into separate schools by race. Secondly Israel has mandatory military service and refusing to do this equates to secondary rights as citizens. You earn special rights by joining or having joined the military. Many Arab Israelis won’t join the military as they are 99% certain they will just be used to shoot at other Arabs. Thus the Jews in Israel effectively get a proxy pecking order of citizenry with the Arabs as an under class with less rights.

Why are they fighting? Because Israel maintains a military occupation, the same as America does in Iraq. The Palestinians who choose to go the route of Gorilla war do so because Israel’s army has forced 6 million of them to live in refugee camps, and uses the remainder for virtual slave labor (two dollars a week on average) and has demolished thousands of homes and killed tens of thousands of people. THAT is why Palestinians hate them, not some irrational brainwashing from Islam.

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Dec 24 2008

A $700 Billion Black Hole

This video reminded me of Wall Street and the unaccounted-for billions that U.S. taxpayers were forced to give greedy bankers and investment companies. As a token of their gratitude, some of these financial companies have risen their credit card rates into the stratosphere, and are refusing to loan money to anyone who does not have a 7+ credit rating. And they’re not telling anyone where the bailout money has gone!

I’m still not clear on why unregulated capitalism was ever the way we do financial business in this country. And why did it go so wrong?  Maybe it’s just too tempting and human nature is basically greedy. I’d like to think that’s not true,  though. After all, at this time of year we buy and give gifts, right? Yet stories of astounding greed are still coming out nearly every day. Here is one on the excuses the financial companies are giving when asked the question:

“Where’s the money going?

But after receiving billions in aid from U.S. taxpayers, the nation’s largest banks say they can’t track exactly how they’re spending the money or they simply refuse to discuss it.

“We’ve lent some of it. We’ve not lent some of it. We’ve not given any accounting of, ‘Here’s how we’re doing it,’” said Thomas Kelly, a spokesman for JPMorgan Chase, which received $25 billion in emergency bailout money. “We have not disclosed that to the public. We’re declining to.”

The Associated Press contacted 21 banks that received at least $1 billion in government money and asked four questions: How much has been spent? What was it spent on? How much is being held in savings, and what’s the plan for the rest?

None of the banks provided specific answers.

“We’re not providing dollar-in, dollar-out tracking,” said Barry Koling, a spokesman for Atlanta, Ga.-based SunTrust Banks Inc., which got $3.5 billion in taxpayer dollars.

Some banks said they simply didn’t know where the money was going.

“We manage our capital in its aggregate,” said Regions Financial Corp. spokesman Tim Deighton, who said the Birmingham, Ala.-based company is not tracking how it is spending the $3.5 billion it received as part of the financial bailout.”

What BS! We have to stop giving these masters of the universe our money. All we get is statements like the above and like this:

“There has been no accounting of how banks spend that money.”

and more excuses:
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Dec 23 2008

Anti-Coal Ads From This is Reality

I love that ThisisReality.org is a new organization dedicated to exposing how filthy dirty and polluting coal is, but they need to work on these ads. They are way too subtle. Humor when talking about coal? I don’t think this is going to be an effective ad campaign. Their first ad was bad enough: a guy shouting outside with the wind blowing, nearly incomprehensible and vague on message. This one is even worse. A mildly amusing ad about a guy smudging his nose with a lump of coal is ridiculous. What is their objective here? Ads like these are not helping very much.

And you can barely see the smudge. This ad would only have been effective if the man rubbed the coal all over his face and acted like he had completely lost his mind. Imagine how effective and obvious that would have been. This ad is far, far too subtle.

The Facts

Burning coal is a leading source of global warming pollution.
“GHG Emissions and Sinks 1990–2006,” US EPA 2008
Burning coal is the dirtiest way we produce electricity.
“Carbon Dioxide Emissions from the Generation of Electric Power in the United States,” US DOE 2000.; “GHG Emissions and Sinks 1990-2006,” US EPA 2008
The coal industry is spending millions advertising “clean” coal, but not a single “clean” coal power plant exists in the U.S. today. (And this is the type of ad you see here fighting this effort?)
“Big Coal Campaigning to Keep Its Industry on Candidates’ Minds,” Wall Street Journal, Oct. 20, 2008 (link); IEA Greenhouse Gas R&D Programme CO2 Capture and Storage Database (link); Carbon Capture and Sequestration Technologies Program at MIT, CO2 Capture and Storage Project Database (link)

These are serious issues and they call forS erious ads–we are way past the time when subtlety and humor were appropriate. It’s time to kick some Big Coal butt. The only way to do that is to use facts, anger, shock, illness, black lung disease, hospital scenes, sick people, property damage, topless mountains and clogged streams. And scenes like this from the Tennessee environmental disaster of the other day:


Read more about that here.

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Dec 22 2008

Cheney, Worst VP in History?

Published by shellinaya under Politics, U.S. News Edit This

Only one in five Americans say that Dick Cheney is the “worst Vice President” in history. The other Americans either can’t read or have no access whatsoever to any type of media. Or, they didn’t know he was vice president. (See: Poll: 23 percent say Cheney worst vice president ever)

I think it’s amazing that 77% of Americans don’t think he’s the worst VP in history. He’s not been a do-nothing VP. Instead, he’s actively spent the last 8 years damaging this country, maybe even more so than Bush himself. I think his worst crime is not pushing for torture, as terrible as that is, but his relentless pursuit of and protections for fossil fuels and companies like Exxon. This led to an 8-year delay in fighting climate change and these never-ending wars for bogus reasons like “fighting terror”. These were resource wars, and resource access wars (Afghanistan) and Dick Cheney pushed hard for them.

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Dec 21 2008

The Endless Senate Races

Published by shellinaya under Politics, U.S. News Edit This

ballotweb

What’s going on with the MN Senate recount? We still don’t have a winner! Lots of frowning, incomprehension, and indecision. See the picture here? Some people actually vote like that. I wonder if they should even be allowed to vote at all if they are that indecisive.

There are still daily, nearly hourly, reports of Norm Coleman falling behind and Al Franken taking the lead, or vice versa, but this situation changes frequently. This week, it will change again. Both sides are full of “projections”. (It seems the only candidate’s team that gets their projections into print lately are those of Franken). Gradually, as this drags on and on, people care less and less. Misinformation still abounds everywhere online. This isn’t over yet, no matter what Franken’s people project. When the recount is finally over, there will be weeks to follow of lawsuits.

There will not be a new Minnesota Senator on January 6th unless Governor Tim Pawlenty appoints an interim senator (I hope he chooses Jesse Ventura, but he won’t), and there are signs he may appoint one. Lately, he has reportedly been asking around for advice on how and when to do that. Meanwhile, this endless senate race is going on and on and on. Some of us are bored with it. Both men seem to have more bad qualities than good, at this point. I still want Franken to win, but only because he’s not Norm Coleman.*

This will all have to be reviewed when the recount is over. The problem is that there seems to be no hard and fast rules when dealing with absentee ballots, and many of them were rejected, and now they are supposedly going to be counted — but not all of them. See what a mess this is? I have lost all faith in the Minnesota voting system. I don’t even know if MY vote counted after all of this.

Here’s why people have reason to wonder: (from the Strib)
“Ray Hermanson of Roseville had his absentee ballot rejected along with his wife’s. The cryptic reason cited by Ramsey County for the rejection of the ballots — “AB materials for R-1 issued, should have been R-2.”

What does that mean??
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Dec 20 2008

Higher Taxes on Cigarettes or Criminalize Smoking

Published by shellinaya under entertainment Edit This

sadcigarettes.jpg

This caught my eye today:

22% Say Smoking Should Be Against The Law

Over one-out-of-five U.S. voters (22%) say the federal government should outlaw tobacco smoking, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey.
Seventy percent (70%) disagree, and nine percent (9%) are undecided.
That support should come as good news for the 15% of voters who currently smoke — unless, of course, they’re trying to quit.
Only 14% of smokers think tobacco smoking should be against the law. Eighty percent (80%) are opposed, and five percent (5%) aren’t sure.
Twenty-two percent (22%) of former smokers say smoking should be outlawed, along with 23% of those who have never smoked.
Generally, those segments of the voting population that have the highest levels of smoking are the ones most likely to favor making it illegal.
But 71% of voters also believe that tobacco companies should not be held liable for health problems that current smokers develop.

From Rasmussen, the polling people.

I know a lot of people still smoke, and they think it’s a matter of freedom, and from a legal standpoint, they are right.  But  they have to consider who they may be harming. I have family members who still smoke, and I wish they’d quit. I am a former smoker.  I smoked for many years, and quit nearly five years ago. I have to say I must have had it easy, because quitting smoking for me wasn’t that tough. I had smoked over a pack a day for quite a while, and I was definitely hooked, but when I decided to quit I had made up my mind, and I never was even tempted to start again.  I had reached the point of just hating it.   I was able to quit the first time I tried and I never relapsed even once. From stories I hear, that’s rare, but it really wasn’t that hard for me. Now that I’m a reformed smoker, I’m trying to get everyone to quit. But the question is, do people have a right to smoke (kill themselves) or should it be illegal?

If you look at it as suicide, I guess everyone has the right to commit suicide, but only if they don’t take people with them. That’s the problem with smoking, it spreads.   A “no smoking” section in a restaurant is like a “no peeing” section in a swimming pool . . . it’s going to waft into someone else’s airspace,  and they will be breathing that smoke whether they want to or not. So, it definitely harms public health. For that reason alone, it should be outlawed in public places.

The question still remains whether countries can and should ban something that leads to near-certain death. You could argue that high-fat food (burgers, fries, ice cream) leads to heart disease, stroke, even cancer,  and you could argue that should outlawed also.  But I’m not for that at all. Who’s to determine what we can eat or drink and why would it be up to anyone but us what we want to put in our bodies? (After all, autonomy over your own body, and privacy, is the Constitutional argument for allowing abortions to be legal).

The statistics for smoking are bad enough though, that it gives people a good excuse to act like Big Brother. This is from the American Cancer Society:

Health Effects of Smoking

Each year, a staggering 440,000 people die in the US from tobacco use. Nearly 1 of every 5 deaths is related to smoking. Cigarettes kill more Americans than alcohol, car accidents, suicide, AIDS, homicide, and illegal drugs combined.

Cigarette smoking accounts for at least 30% of all cancer deaths. It is a major cause of cancers of the lung, larynx (voice box), oral cavity, pharynx (throat), and esophagus, and is a contributing cause in the development of cancers of the bladder, pancreas, liver, uterine cervix, kidney, stomach, colon and rectum, and some leukemias.

About 87% of lung cancer deaths are caused by smoking. Lung cancer is the leading cause of cancer death among both men and women, and is one of the most difficult cancers to treat.

That’s enough to nearly scare anyone who smokes to death — if the cigarettes don’t kill you first.

My solution to all of this is that it’s in the country’s best interest to discourage smoking, from a health insurance and public safety point of view. Keep cigarette smoking legal, but raise the taxes on them to about $10 a pack. If people really, really want to kill themselves, they can pay for what it costs the rest of us.

marijuana-joint.jpg

Even though I hate cigarettes, I do think weed should be legalized. After all, it’s good for people. The day it becomes legal (and I think that day is coming) I’m going to be the first in line to buy some. I might have to bake it in cookies or something though, since I can’t see starting up smoking again.

Maybe if marijuana was legalized, no one would want to bother with tobacco anymore.  What would be the point?

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Dec 19 2008

Obama Critics, Give It a Rest for Five Minutes

Published by shellinaya under Politics, U.S. News Edit This

“Progressives” and the media can be mean, even vicious. Lately, it seems they are turning on Obama and ripping him to shreds at a faster rate than conservatives can do it. I don’t know what to make of this phenomenon. It’s one thing to criticize, but it’s entirely another thing to seem to be destroying the very person you worked so hard to elect.

Ironically, I’m not in that group, but now I’m defending Obama every day, somewhere. I was a person who warned people away from Obama. But it seems as though his supporters and others who say they are “progressive” find major faults with him on a daily basis. It’s getting ridiculous. The latest disappointment for “progressives” who want Obama to be exactly like them is that he chose some right-wing minister to do the invocation for his inaugural. This minister is seen as “anti-gay” even though he denies it. (Gay leaders angered by Obama’s prayer pick). This, the prevailing story goes, sends a bad message, that Obama suddenly tolerates homophobia or something. That’s utterly ridiculous. Considering all this country is currently facing, this supposed slight over a pastor is so monumentally insignificant it’s nearly unbelievable. Really, it is. I know gay people who agree with that statement, but they are being drowned out by various “progressives”, who won’t even allow people to disagree with them on any subject, apparently.
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Dec 18 2008

Live Long and Prosper, Majel

Published by shellinaya under Media, entertainment Edit This

This has nothing to do with politics, but it’s about a TV icon who passed away on December 18th.

Majel Barrett-Roddenberry was the wife of Star Trek creator Gene Roddenberry and someone I admired.   She died on Thursday of leukemia complications.  Barrett was the original Star Trek feminist, the powerful, smart woman. In the original Star Trek pilot she played “Number One” which was the Captain’s sidekick or sort of a vice-captain. Score one for the women. That role later went to “Mr. Spock” when the series started, but she blazed that path briefly back when it was still a woman’s place in American society to defer to men and look pretty. She did that later too because after all, it was Star Trek. To her credit, she never appeared on the show in a bikini or harem pants, (did she?) at least until she was much older and played Lwaxana Troi, when she appeared (faux) naked for her wedding ceremony.

Barrett’s most well known as “Nurse Chapel” (remember her Spock Gaze) on the original series, and also as the voice of the ship’s computer through several of the ST shows and movies. I used to be a huge, geeky fan of Star Trek, and even went to a ST convention once, though I never met her. I think I have seen every episode of ST, (except for some Deep Space Nine episodes (and much of the last show, Enterprise)) several times. Star Trek, especially TNG (The Next Generation) helped form how I think about the world and is one reason why I am a progressive. It’s one reason why I thought things like science, immigrant rights, space exploration, and governments were important. It made me see into the future, and consider ideas like borders don’t matter when you are dealing with a universe, even at a very young age. It was a show that made you wonder. What’s a parsec, anyway? Would food replicators solve world hunger? Would the Federation be a good evolution for the UN, or would it be repressive? And remember, there are no borders in space, so free trade… well, that’s Firefly, not ST. (Firefly was every bit as good as Star Trek, it just burned out far more quickly).

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